Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 4.713376 5.290143 5.918939 6.656840 7.500918 8.438466 9.561662
2025-01-19 3.656644 4.373984 5.214534 6.277450 7.593120 9.177712 11.244987
2025-01-26 3.165176 3.972042 4.970679 6.308397 8.069797 10.332565 13.496119
2025-02-02 2.887441 3.769089 4.910793 6.515769 8.742868 11.767101 16.258816
2025-02-09 2.644581 3.568394 4.811372 6.632334 9.276351 13.045275 18.951468
2025-02-16 2.438323 3.386614 4.706067 6.710965 9.742430 14.257217 21.687780
2025-02-23 2.264704 3.227993 4.609376 6.779066 10.183592 15.463399 24.560326
2025-03-02 2.049574 2.986054 4.363842 6.590076 10.196742 15.990328 26.382245
2025-03-09 1.892210 2.814314 4.204236 6.511500 10.365757 16.771217 28.720619
2025-03-16 1.752033 2.655739 4.048701 6.419605 10.495106 17.488370 31.029513
2025-03-23 1.702910 2.634292 4.104804 6.676380 11.236697 19.341298 35.695308
2025-03-30 1.605038 2.526094 4.010331 6.666778 11.505788 20.371681 38.920412
2025-04-06 1.503525 2.406673 3.891586 6.610827 11.698218 21.307765 42.159602
2025-04-13 1.355687 2.199414 3.609034 6.238230 11.264100 20.995049 42.749508
2025-04-20 1.290238 2.127083 3.552255 6.269757 11.601163 22.238521 46.904106
2025-04-27 1.257908 2.109115 3.588372 6.475858 12.300146 24.302539 53.258715
2025-05-04 1.214259 2.067609 3.578351 6.591648 12.828089 26.073371 59.243818
2025-05-11 1.168598 2.018954 3.550940 6.669739 13.284648 27.745966 65.293487
2025-05-18 1.124956 1.970724 3.520201 6.737367 13.724797 29.437238 71.707323
2025-05-25 1.052568 1.864282 3.371269 6.549693 13.585333 29.769155 74.578600
2025-06-01 0.999173 1.790115 3.279087 6.471663 13.681529 30.669566 79.172518
2025-06-08 0.948200 1.717367 3.184604 6.380405 13.737354 31.478014 83.661594
2025-06-15 0.938767 1.724179 3.248088 6.635397 14.629864 34.499666 95.283937